Retail Forecast: 2019 looks good, but economists see bumps further down the road

Posted on October 25, 2018

Retailers will enjoy brisk economic tail winds in 2019. A strong labor market should continue to inspire liberal spending, while a robust business climate fuels higher corporate profits. At the same time, economists are starting to see early signs of an inevitable correction.

“The coming 12 months should be a good year for retailers,” said Scott Hoyt, Senior Director of Consumer Economics for Moody’s Analytics ( “Core retail sales (which exclude the volatile auto and gasoline segments) are expected to grow a healthy 4.7 percent in 2019.”

Happy shoppers are driving the favorable retailing environment.

“Consumers seem to be euphoric right now,” added Hoyt. “The fiscal stimulus in the form of tax cuts, as well as the tight job market, mean there are very few negatives when it comes to consumer fundamentals.”

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